Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 75797.368522 80056.084397 84317.104900 88897.284609 93678.192299 98518.336967 103785.779586
2026-02-01 68127.054064 74558.540829 81176.074983 88484.633430 96320.664102 104460.644841 113546.169574
2026-02-08 63285.797737 71233.815910 79593.493765 89022.578992 99342.560824 110274.794842 122711.568828
2026-02-15 59127.615222 68159.228359 77836.578096 88945.968973 101314.588345 114629.764731 130014.809793
2026-02-22 56590.587173 66590.260114 77477.074462 90164.116233 104494.993519 120132.883098 138437.855872
2026-03-01 54199.714906 64980.341976 76888.059784 90953.667310 107048.462920 124823.665482 145870.545044
2026-03-08 51595.047611 62954.942245 75673.439219 90887.168672 108505.458386 128180.034852 151722.159085
2026-03-15 49520.734614 61416.967672 74903.528833 91223.794126 110331.504364 131885.434995 157923.023568
2026-03-22 48344.635637 60852.272069 75193.361549 92729.515928 113463.155434 137062.357367 165812.788279
2026-03-29 47050.138717 60071.000238 75163.317549 93802.395644 116046.221145 141580.399259 172936.926534
2026-04-05 45678.881555 59127.834298 74880.239587 94521.064356 118169.959227 145537.617360 179400.648589
2026-04-12 44028.660180 57773.758476 74040.308326 94513.533962 119380.666456 148386.342580 184540.978953
2026-04-19 42536.229557 56576.420288 73363.287267 94688.062255 120812.485427 151521.264654 190074.334318
2026-04-26 40979.657353 55243.878396 72472.491991 94559.290960 121845.984096 154164.602916 195023.570988
2026-05-03 39897.649602 54466.024774 72229.346425 95195.777664 123791.147906 157896.984396 201293.723425
2026-05-10 38548.365158 53297.720590 71454.258434 95130.179318 124839.772149 160522.146425 206216.356736
2026-05-17 37911.157176 53018.357676 71775.034008 96420.275229 127561.309775 165194.294824 213659.582300
2026-05-24 37106.290709 52489.271292 71752.154437 97254.928157 129701.923996 169153.134573 220244.184512
2026-05-31 35944.185425 51451.952782 71043.531088 97184.871789 130680.307503 171661.792668 225038.083978
2026-06-07 35026.790511 50708.058499 70685.888066 97540.417451 132179.960001 174811.310830 230634.281828
2026-06-14 34680.097478 50712.030113 71289.147083 99130.444693 135254.356096 179942.806026 238734.295461
2026-06-21 34162.512176 50465.527766 71548.715199 100263.232871 137740.883157 184344.951668 245944.930042
2026-06-28 33517.792692 50024.212383 71533.095457 101021.957938 139738.817745 188133.975691 252401.439522